oleocene.org

The United States dominated world oil production in earlier years, being also the home to several of the world's major international oil companies. In 1930, it supplied about 65% of the World's production, but its share has since slipped, declining to 21% in 1970 and about 7% to-day. With its burgeoning domestic demand for oil, the country had become a net importer by 1950. Imports began to rise rapidly after peak production in 1970, such that they have now passed 60%. The irreversible decline of its production means that even if demand were to be held static, the country would be importing 90% of its needs by 2020. It explains why access to foreign oil has long been officially declared a vital national interest, prompting military intervention.

U.S. Crude Oil Production Continues at Four-Year Highs

American Petroleum Institute November 19, 2009

U.S. crude oil production for October averaged 5.36 million barrels per day, continuing at levels not seen since 2005, according to API's Monthly Statistical Report.

Crude production from the Lower 48 states averaged 4.67 million barrels per day, up from both last year and prior months. Even though crude production last October had recovered from precautionary platform shut-ins in the Gulf of Mexico in the face of hurricanes Gustav and Ike last September, output levels then were still lower than this October's by nearly 15 percent. Meanwhile, Alaskan output, at 696,000 barrels per day, slipped from last October by 2.8 percent but rebounded from this summer's lows of less than 600,000 barrels per day.

"The October production figures continue to detail the industry's success story in the Gulf of Mexico, particularly the deep waters, as well as the way new technologies have helped bring on new production both offshore and onshore," said API Statistics Manager Ron Planting.

On the demand side, gasoline deliveries for October showed their first decline since May, dropping 0.5 percent from last October's delivery surge that followed hurricane-related supply interruptions of September 2008. However, had deliveries a year ago followed a pattern more in line with historical patterns, API estimates that this year's gasoline deliveries for October would have shown their fifth year-to-year increase in a row -- though perhaps by only about one half of one percent.

Distillate deliveries' year-to-year declines, which had been moderating in recent months, returned to the double-digit range in October, with an 11.4 percent drop from a year ago. Even if there had been a more normal delivery pattern last year, this October's decline still would have likely averaged some 7 percent. Economic indicators continue to suggest that demand for diesel-powered freight traffic is down substantially. The Federal Reserve Board's industrial production index, for example, was flat for October and was still running more than 7 percent below year-ago levels.

Remundo a écrit :oui, je voulais dire leurs propres réserves. C'est un bas de laine un peu déchiré car le peak est passé depuis longtemps aux US

Mais c'est remarquable que malgré les difficultés d'extraction, ils soutirent temporairement plus chez eux plutôt que d'acheter à meilleur compte au moyen orient.

Raminagrobis a écrit :Celà impliquerait qu'ils aient jusqu'ici laissé des réserves volontairement inexploitées, une idée très répandue mais dont je n'ai jamais trouvé d'indice tangible.
Le seul endroit où ils ont des réserves significative, connues, et laissées en friche, c'est dans la baie de los angeles. .....

Raminagrobis a écrit : ....la production augmente nettement là on s'y attend le moins : aux USA, 40 ans après leur pic.
......dont la balance des paiements avaient besoin.

Bien sur, c'est un rebond relatif et temporaire, et la tendance de la production à terme reste bien à la baisse.

US crude production for 2009 is on target to have its biggest one-year jump—from 4.95 million b/d average of 2008 to 5.268 million barrels per day (b/d) through October 2009 (up 6.4%)—since 1970, according to a Platts analysis of industry data Platts concluded that with the jump in the deepwater Gulf of Mexico production, combined with the Bakken Shale oil play and other trends, it appears the US has a chance of at least maintaining oil output in the range of five million to six million b/d for some years to come.